Thursday, November 19, 2009

Odds of Colts or Saints Going Undefeated?


How many remaining games will the teams be favored?
Colts: projected to be favored in EVERY GAME!
Saints: projected to be favored in EVERY GAME!

Odds of going undefeated:
Colts: 11 to 1 against (8% chance)
Saints: 11 to 1 against (8% chance)

It’s noteworthy that most people tend to guess that the chances are much greater.

Amazingly, both team’s odds are nearly identical – creating an interesting question for discussion: "Which team, Saints or Colts, do you think has the better chance of going undefeated?"

Odds of AT LEAST ONE of the teams going undefeated?
5.5 to 1 against (15% chance)

Odds of BOTH teams going undefeated?
150-1 against

Formula note: By calculating the percentage chance of the Colts and Saints winning each of their remaining games, RJ Bell of Pregame.com has projected the exact odds of either team finishing the season undefeated. Note that these projections are not guesses, but rather calculations based upon projected point spreads.

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